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    Maybe this explains it

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    sinister_midget
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    Maybe this explains it

    Post  sinister_midget on Sun Nov 04, 2018 12:02 pm

    Ever wonder why the DemocraTICK party ran away from the mess they created with their attempted election meddling via caravans of illegals showing up by election day? Maybe this has something to do with it.

    Poll: Immigration Is the Mobilizing Issue for GOP Voters in Midterm Elections

    Immigration has now been the leading issue facing the nation for Republican and conservative voters for the past eight months, a new poll reveals.

    The latest Harvard/Harris Poll finds that for the eighth consecutive month, immigration is named as the number one priority in the country by Republicans, conservatives, and supporters of President Trump.

    A total of 51 percent of Republican voters say immigration is the most important issue in the country, while 52 percent of conservatives and 51 percent of Trump voters say the same.

    The poll reveals, again, that immigration — not tax reform — is mobilizing Trump’s base of support in the midterm elections. In fact,  more GOP voters, conservatives, and Trump supporters believe the national debt is more of a priority than tax reform.

    Among all likely voters, immigration is the second biggest issue facing the nation, just behind healthcare. Meanwhile, for all likely voters, tax reform ranks below even obscure issues like guns and the national debt. All likely voters put as much importance on tax reform as they do climate change.

    Got that? Immigration is number two with EVERYBODY. And it's a huge motivator for Republicans/conservatives to get out and vote.

    Consider that health care might be big to the left, but it's not going to motivate the young so much, and it's not enough of a factor to guarantee success. Under those circumstances, the last thing they want is to motivate their enemies at the same time they can't get enough of their own people out to vote. And among those who do, many of them are very nearly concerned (I suspect most are MORE concerned) with immigration.

    Health care or not, a huge chunk of the black vote has walked away from their party. Others may not have abandoned them, but they're completely disgusted the the party values foreign gang members over them, so they have no reason to show up at the polls. It's already established that a huge chunk of the Hispanic vote went to Trump and still support him. Plus many others have made the switch since.


    I'm still predicting we'll see a lot more of this Tuesday night into Wednesday:



    Is it a sure thing? No. Not if people assume it will turn out that way and stay home. But the signs point that way.

    Whether we see that or not, we're certain to see a whole lot more of this:



    At least until law enforcement finally cracks down because people have had enough.


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    sinister_midget
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    Re: Maybe this explains it

    Post  sinister_midget on Sun Nov 04, 2018 12:28 pm

    WashPo/ABC News Poll Has Ominous News For Democrats

    Despite the headlines about an eight-point advantage for Democrats in the generic congressional ballot, the detailed results of today’s Washington Post/ABC News poll should make most Democratic Party leaders and their billionaire benefactors sweat.

    First, the eight-point gap represents a five-point drop from the same poll just three weeks ago, when Democrats had a 13-point advantage. (Like most polls, the sample favors Democrats by six points among registered voters.)

    But even more ominous for Democrats is how specific voting blocs responded. If Democrats are going to win control of the House, they need to pull votes from independent women and women in the suburbs, and support for the generic Democratic congressional candidate has dropped significantly among these two groups. Independent women now are split between Republicans and Democrats; this is a seismic shift from the results of its October poll, which gave Democrats a 33-point lead in this group. Further, Democratic women appear less likely to vote than Democratic men, Republican men, and Republican women.

    Suburban women now favor a Democratic candidate by 11-points, a lead that’s been cut in half since last month. Since many of the Republican toss-ups and “lean Democratic” seats are located in suburban areas, this could portend trouble for Democrats. At the same time, the GOP has made big gains among non-college white men and rural residents.

    The top two issues – health care and the economy – cut both ways for each party. Registered voters trust Democrats to handle health care, but trust Republicans to handle the economy. Voters prefer Republicans to handle taxes, while they prefer Democrats to handle immigration and global warming.

    But one issue stands out: border security. Amazingly, the pollsters admit it’s the first time they’ve asked about border security, and 59 percent of registered voters said it is an important issue in the election. Eighty-four percent of Republicans and 47 percent of Democrats ranked border security as a key issue; independents were evenly split. Republicans have a ten-point lead over Democrats on the question of who will better handle border security, and a 19-point lead among independents.

    The biggest headwind for the GOP remains Donald Trump. Fifty-two percent of registered voters disapprove of how he’s handling his job as president versus 44 percent who approve. (This is his highest approval rating in the history of this poll.) But the president is at a 16-point deficit among independents.

    On Tuesday, all eyes will be on the more than two dozen toss-up House races. It’s here where Democrats don’t appear to have the strong advantage they need to win several of these contests that will take them over the top. The poll shows a slim preference for Democrats –  49-44 percent – in these toss-up districts; considering the margin of error in the poll (3.5 percent), it’s essentially a tie.

    Pundits usually look at trends close to Election Day to predict the final outcome. If this poll is any indication of what to expect on Tuesday night, Democrats might be in for a big disappointment.


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    Re: Maybe this explains it

    Post  sinister_midget on Sun Nov 04, 2018 2:51 pm

    Democrats know they are in trouble

    Target Early, a Democratic political data and data services firm, has bad news for Democrats. Early voting in battleground states is going to Republicans.

    The site's numbers show Republicans are up:


    178,464 votes in Arizona.
    136,779 votes in Florida.
    105,352 votes in Indiana.
    2,282 votes in Missouri.
    48,581 votes in Montana.
    46,742 votes in North Dakota.
    85,713 votes in Ohio.
    8,023 votes in Pennsylvania.
    464.358 votes in Tennessee.
    767,458 votes in Texas.
    36,089 votes in Wisconsin.
    26,579 votes in West Virginia.

    Does this mean Republicans will take all 12 Senate seats in those states on Tuesday? Of course not.

    But starting behind in those 12 states means Democrats will be harder pressed in their Get Out The Vote efforts on Election Day.

    By the way, spending a record amount of money on the Fake Hispanic's quixotic campaign in Texas shows a foolishness that could cost them more than one close election.

    The press is acting stupidly. Dustin Gardiner of the Arizona Republic wrote, "Arizona Democrats have seen a massive surge in early voting over the past week, bolstering predictions for a 'blue wave' in Tuesday's elections."

    But he buried the reality in his story: Republicans have an 8-point advantage in early voting.

    In 2016, it was a 6-point advantage. Trump carried Arizona.


    A "massive surge in early voting" for DemocRATs is meaningless without numbers. If, for example, they're being outvoted 10 to 1, "surging" to the point that's 8 to 1 still means they're way behind. But the state-run media likes playing those sorts of word games.


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